Match Analysis

SunderlandvsJagiellonia Bialystok

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
25%
30%
Sunderland winDrawJagiellonia Bialystok win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
0.90Avg goals scored0.87
1.19Avg goals conceded1.69
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

1.2

Jagiellonia Bialystok xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok

LLWLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Sunderland is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win45%
Draw25%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Win30%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%