Match Analysis

TorreensevsArarat-Armenia

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
19%
24%
Torreense winDrawArarat-Armenia win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.60
1.83Avg goals scored1.07
2.39Avg goals conceded3.42
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Torreense xG

Expected goals

1.6

Ararat-Armenia xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

3–2

6%

1–2

5%

Home

Torreense

Torreense

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 3.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

Torreense is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Torreense's current form?

Torreense have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Torreense Win57%
Draw19%
Ararat-Armenia Win24%
BTTS73%
Over 2.578%