Match Analysis

Union St.-GilloisevsCeltic

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
18%
18%
Union St.-Gilloise winDrawCeltic win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game1.60
2.45Avg goals scored1.68
0.58Avg goals conceded2.63
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Union St.-Gilloise xG

Expected goals

1.3

Celtic xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–0

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.6

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Celtic

Celtic

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Union St.-Gilloise vs Celtic?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Union St.-Gilloise's current form?

Union St.-Gilloise have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Union St.-Gilloise Win64%
Draw18%
Celtic Win18%
BTTS67%
Over 2.573%