Match Analysis

Union St.-GilloisevsReal Sociedad

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
23%
31%
Union St.-Gilloise winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game2.00
2.45Avg goals scored2.35
0.58Avg goals conceded0.88
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Union St.-Gilloise xG

Expected goals

1.4

Real Sociedad xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.6

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Union St.-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Union St.-Gilloise's current form?

Union St.-Gilloise have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Union St.-Gilloise Win46%
Draw23%
Real Sociedad Win31%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%