Match Analysis

Saudi ArabiavsUzbekistan

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
23%
34%
Saudi Arabia winDrawUzbekistan win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
0.00Avg goals scored2.15
0.00Avg goals conceded2.02
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Saudi Arabia xG

Expected goals

1.6

Uzbekistan xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

LLWWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.2 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan?

Saudi Arabia is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Saudi Arabia's current form?

Saudi Arabia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Saudi Arabia Win43%
Draw23%
Uzbekistan Win34%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%