Match Analysis

SpainvsChile

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
24%
32%
Spain winDrawChile win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game0.80
0.00Avg goals scored1.38
0.00Avg goals conceded1.61
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Spain xG

Expected goals

1.4

Chile xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Spain

No data

Away

Chile

Chile

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Spain vs Chile?

Spain is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Spain Win44%
Draw24%
Chile Win32%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%