Match Analysis

United StatesvsSyria

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

65%
18%
17%
United States winDrawSyria win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
2.92Avg goals scored1.00
0.71Avg goals conceded2.55
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

United States xG

Expected goals

1.1

Syria xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

3–0

7%

Home

United States

United States

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Syria

Syria

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win United Arab Emirates vs Syria?

United States is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is United Arab Emirates's current form?

United Arab Emirates have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

United States Win65%
Draw18%
Syria Win17%
BTTS61%
Over 2.568%