Uruguayvs
Dominica
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Uruguay xG
Expected goals
1.4
Dominica xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
2–1
9%
1–0
7%
1–2
7%
2–0
7%
2–2
7%
Home
Uruguay
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
3.8 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Dominica
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Uruguay vs Dominican Republic?
Uruguay is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Uruguay's current form?
Uruguay have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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