Match Analysis

Avispa FukuokavsGamba Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
25%
40%
Avispa Fukuoka winDrawGamba Osaka win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game0.80
0.87Avg goals scored1.16
1.93Avg goals conceded1.68
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)0–4–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected goals

1.5

Gamba Osaka xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

LDDDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?

Gamba Osaka is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Avispa Fukuoka's current form?

Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Avispa Fukuoka Win35%
Draw25%
Gamba Osaka Win40%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%