Match Analysis

Cerezo OsakavsFC Tokyo

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

10%
15%
75%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawFC Tokyo win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
1.35Avg goals scored2.66
2.01Avg goals conceded0.26
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

2.6

FC Tokyo xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

11%

0–3

10%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

1–1

7%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

WLDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.3

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win10%
Draw15%
FC Tokyo Win75%
BTTS51%
Over 2.566%