โšก Match Analysis

Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
34%
21%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.40
2.37Avg goals scored1.55
1.21Avg goals conceded1.20
4โ€“1โ€“0Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)4โ€“0โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.4

Kashiwa Reysol xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“1

8%

3โ€“1

7%

2โ€“0

6%

2โ€“2

6%

1โ€“0

5%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 5 meetings

Cerezo Osakaall timeKashiwa Reysol
4D
1W
20 Sep 25
Cerezo Osaka1โ€“1Kashiwa Reysol
26 Feb 25
Kashiwa Reysol2โ€“1Cerezo Osaka
28 Sep 24
Cerezo Osaka0โ€“0Kashiwa Reysol
3 Apr 24
Kashiwa Reysol1โ€“1Cerezo Osaka
12 Aug 23
Kashiwa Reysol1โ€“1Cerezo Osaka

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 0, drew 4, and Kashiwa Reysol won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 5 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win45%
Draw34%
Kashiwa Reysol Win21%
BTTS69%
Over 2.573%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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