Match Analysis

Cerezo OsakavsMachida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
21%
61%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
1.35Avg goals scored1.73
2.01Avg goals conceded0.50
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

2

Machida Zelvia xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

10%

0–2

10%

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

WLDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win18%
Draw21%
Machida Zelvia Win61%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%