Cerezo Osakavs
Machida Zelvia
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Cerezo Osaka xG
Expected goals
2
Machida Zelvia xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
10%
0–2
10%
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–3
7%
1–3
7%
Home
Cerezo Osaka
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Machida Zelvia
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia?
Machida Zelvia is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?
Cerezo Osaka have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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