Match Analysis

FC TokyovsKashiwa Reysol

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
18%
14%
FC Tokyo winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.60
2.66Avg goals scored2.27
0.26Avg goals conceded1.36
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

FC Tokyo xG

Expected goals

1

Kashiwa Reysol xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

Home

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.3

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.4

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Tokyo's current form?

FC Tokyo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Tokyo Win68%
Draw18%
Kashiwa Reysol Win14%
BTTS57%
Over 2.566%