โšก Match Analysis

Fc Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
23%
51%
FC Tokyo winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
1.58Avg goals scored1.44
1.50Avg goals conceded0.76
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

FC Tokyo xG

Expected goals

1.6

Machida Zelvia xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“1

12%

1โ€“1

12%

0โ€“2

10%

1โ€“2

10%

0โ€“0

7%

1โ€“0

7%

Home

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

WDWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Fc Tokyoall timeMachida Zelvia
2W
1D
3W
5 Apr 26
FC Tokyo0โ€“0Machida Zelvia
1 Apr 26
Machida Zelvia0โ€“3FC Tokyo
9 Nov 25
Machida Zelvia0โ€“1FC Tokyo
22 Feb 25
FC Tokyo0โ€“1Machida Zelvia
9 Nov 24
Machida Zelvia3โ€“0FC Tokyo
21 Apr 24
FC Tokyo1โ€“2Machida Zelvia

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fc Tokyo's current form?

Fc Tokyo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 2, drew 1, and Machida Zelvia won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

FC Tokyo Win26%
Draw23%
Machida Zelvia Win51%
BTTS50%
Over 2.548%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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