Match Analysis

FC TokyovsSanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
24%
21%
FC Tokyo winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.00
2.66Avg goals scored2.12
0.26Avg goals conceded0.68
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

FC Tokyo xG

Expected goals

1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.3

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Tokyo's current form?

FC Tokyo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Tokyo Win55%
Draw24%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win21%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%