FC Tokyovs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
FC Tokyo xG
Expected goals
1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
11%
1–1
11%
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
0–0
7%
0–1
7%
Home
FC Tokyo
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.3
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
FC Tokyo is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is FC Tokyo's current form?
FC Tokyo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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