Gamba Osaka vs Fc Tokyo
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected goals
1.4
FC Tokyo xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
2–0
7%
3–1
7%
1–0
6%
1–2
6%
Home
Gamba Osaka
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
FC Tokyo
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Fc Tokyo?
Gamba Osaka is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Gamba Osaka's current form?
Gamba Osaka have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Gamba Osaka won 1, drew 1, and Fc Tokyo won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League