Match Analysis

Gamba OsakavsMachida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
23%
58%
Gamba Osaka winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.80
1.16Avg goals scored1.73
1.68Avg goals conceded0.50
0–4–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Gamba Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.8

Machida Zelvia xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

0–2

11%

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

0–3

7%

Home

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

LDDDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gamba Osaka's current form?

Gamba Osaka have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Gamba Osaka Win19%
Draw23%
Machida Zelvia Win58%
BTTS50%
Over 2.551%