Match Analysis

JEF United Ichihara-ChibavsV-Varen Nagasaki

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
25%
30%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba winDrawV-Varen Nagasaki win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
1.35Avg goals scored1.19
1.34Avg goals conceded1.40
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba xG

Expected goals

1.2

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

WWDLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba's current form?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba Win45%
Draw25%
V-Varen Nagasaki Win30%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%