Match Analysis

Kashiwa ReysolvsSanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
23%
44%
Kashiwa Reysol winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.00
2.27Avg goals scored2.12
1.36Avg goals conceded0.68
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected goals

1.8

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.4

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kashiwa Reysol's current form?

Kashiwa Reysol have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kashiwa Reysol Win33%
Draw23%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win44%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%