Match Analysis

Kyoto SangavsFagiano Okayama

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
23%
25%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.80
1.43Avg goals scored1.04
1.44Avg goals conceded1.76
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Kyoto Sanga xG

Expected goals

1.2

Fagiano Okayama xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

WDWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama?

Kyoto Sanga is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?

Kyoto Sanga have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kyoto Sanga Win52%
Draw23%
Fagiano Okayama Win25%
BTTS58%
Over 2.558%