Match Analysis

Kyoto SangavsMachida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
25%
51%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.80
1.43Avg goals scored1.73
1.44Avg goals conceded0.50
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Kyoto Sanga xG

Expected goals

1.6

Machida Zelvia xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

WDWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?

Kyoto Sanga have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kyoto Sanga Win24%
Draw25%
Machida Zelvia Win51%
BTTS50%
Over 2.548%