Machida Zelviavs
Fagiano Okayama
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Machida Zelvia xG
Expected goals
0.8
Fagiano Okayama xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
2–0
12%
2–1
10%
1–1
9%
3–0
8%
3–1
7%
Home
Machida Zelvia
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Fagiano Okayama
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.8
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama?
Machida Zelvia is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Machida Zelvia's current form?
Machida Zelvia have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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