โšก Match Analysis

Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
25%
21%
Machida Zelvia winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.40
1.37Avg goals scored1.55
0.72Avg goals conceded1.20
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)4โ€“0โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

0.8

Kashiwa Reysol xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“0

16%

1โ€“1

12%

0โ€“0

11%

2โ€“0

11%

0โ€“1

9%

2โ€“1

9%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

WDWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Machida Zelviaall timeKashiwa Reysol
4W
1D
1W
11 Apr 26
Machida Zelvia1โ€“0Kashiwa Reysol
14 Mar 26
Kashiwa Reysol0โ€“1Machida Zelvia
6 Dec 25
Kashiwa Reysol1โ€“0Machida Zelvia
17 May 25
Machida Zelvia3โ€“0Kashiwa Reysol
19 Oct 24
Kashiwa Reysol1โ€“1Machida Zelvia
3 May 24
Machida Zelvia2โ€“0Kashiwa Reysol

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Machida Zelvia won 4, drew 1, and Kashiwa Reysol won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win54%
Draw25%
Kashiwa Reysol Win21%
BTTS41%
Over 2.538%

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