Match Analysis

Machida ZelviavsSanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
27%
33%
Machida Zelvia winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
1.73Avg goals scored2.12
0.50Avg goals conceded0.68
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

1.1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

12%

0–1

10%

0–0

9%

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win40%
Draw27%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win33%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%