Match Analysis

Machida ZelviavsV-Varen Nagasaki

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
23%
16%
Machida Zelvia winDrawV-Varen Nagasaki win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.80
1.73Avg goals scored1.19
0.50Avg goals conceded1.40
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

0.8

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

2–0

12%

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

3–0

7%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win61%
Draw23%
V-Varen Nagasaki Win16%
BTTS46%
Over 2.548%