Match Analysis

Mito HollyhockvsV-Varen Nagasaki

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
25%
51%
Mito Hollyhock winDrawV-Varen Nagasaki win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game0.80
0.53Avg goals scored1.19
2.11Avg goals conceded1.40
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Mito Hollyhock xG

Expected goals

1.6

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.1

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mito Hollyhock vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

V-Varen Nagasaki is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mito Hollyhock's current form?

Mito Hollyhock have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mito Hollyhock Win24%
Draw25%
V-Varen Nagasaki Win51%
BTTS50%
Over 2.548%