Match Analysis

Nagoya GrampusvsCerezo Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
23%
34%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
1.07Avg goals scored1.35
1.65Avg goals conceded2.01
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

1.5

Cerezo Osaka xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

LLDDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

WLDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?

Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win43%
Draw23%
Cerezo Osaka Win34%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%