โšก Match Analysis

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
33%
39%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
1.77Avg goals scored1.64
2.12Avg goals conceded1.25
1โ€“1โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

2.5

Fagiano Okayama xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“2

7%

2โ€“2

7%

1โ€“1

6%

1โ€“3

6%

2โ€“1

6%

2โ€“3

6%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

LDLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Nagoya Grampusall timeFagiano Okayama
1W
3D
29 Apr 26
Nagoya Grampus1โ€“1Fagiano Okayama
1 Mar 26
Fagiano Okayama1โ€“1Nagoya Grampus
13 Sep 25
Fagiano Okayama0โ€“1Nagoya Grampus
6 May 25
Nagoya Grampus0โ€“0Fagiano Okayama

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Fagiano Okayama is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 1, drew 3, and Fagiano Okayama won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win28%
Draw33%
Fagiano Okayama Win39%
BTTS78%
Over 2.581%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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