Match Analysis

Nagoya GrampusvsKyoto Sanga

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
24%
41%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
1.07Avg goals scored1.43
1.65Avg goals conceded1.44
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

1.5

Kyoto Sanga xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

LLDDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

WDWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

Kyoto Sanga is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win35%
Draw24%
Kyoto Sanga Win41%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%