Match Analysis

Nagoya GrampusvsSanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
21%
61%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.07Avg goals scored2.12
1.65Avg goals conceded0.68
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

10%

0–2

10%

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

LLDDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win18%
Draw21%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win61%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%