Match Analysis

Sanfrecce HiroshimavsKyoto Sanga

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
20%
17%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.20
2.12Avg goals scored1.43
0.68Avg goals conceded1.44
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected goals

1

Kyoto Sanga xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

WDWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win63%
Draw20%
Kyoto Sanga Win17%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%