Match Analysis

Sanfrecce HiroshimavsShimizu S-Pulse

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

78%
15%
7%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima winDrawShimizu S-Pulse win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.20
2.12Avg goals scored0.66
0.68Avg goals conceded1.96
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected goals

0.7

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

13%

3–0

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

1–1

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

LLLLD

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win78%
Draw15%
Shimizu S-Pulse Win7%
BTTS46%
Over 2.562%