Match Analysis

Shimizu S-PulsevsMachida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
21%
66%
Shimizu S-Pulse winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.80
0.66Avg goals scored1.73
1.96Avg goals conceded0.50
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected goals

1.9

Machida Zelvia xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

0–2

13%

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–3

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

LLLLD

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shimizu S-Pulse's current form?

Shimizu S-Pulse have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shimizu S-Pulse Win13%
Draw21%
Machida Zelvia Win66%
BTTS43%
Over 2.548%