Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsSanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
23%
55%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
1.19Avg goals scored2.12
1.40Avg goals conceded0.68
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

1.8

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

11%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

6%

0–3

6%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win22%
Draw23%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win55%
BTTS53%
Over 2.553%