Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsShimizu S-Pulse

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
23%
20%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawShimizu S-Pulse win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.20
1.19Avg goals scored0.66
1.40Avg goals conceded1.96
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

1

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

6%

0–1

6%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

LLLLD

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

V-Varen Nagasaki is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win57%
Draw23%
Shimizu S-Pulse Win20%
BTTS53%
Over 2.553%