Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsUrawa Red Diamonds

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
23%
31%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawUrawa Red Diamonds win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
1.19Avg goals scored1.49
1.40Avg goals conceded1.92
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

1.4

Urawa Red Diamonds xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

V-Varen Nagasaki is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win46%
Draw23%
Urawa Red Diamonds Win31%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%