Match Analysis

AlavésvsDeportivo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
26%
41%
Alavés winDrawDeportivo win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.01Avg goals scored1.10
1.71Avg goals conceded1.10
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Alavés xG

Expected goals

1.4

Deportivo xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

7%

0–2

7%

Home

Alavés

Alavés

WDLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Deportivo

Deportivo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Alavés vs Deportivo?

Deportivo is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Alavés's current form?

Alavés have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Alavés Win33%
Draw26%
Deportivo Win41%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%