Match Analysis

AlavésvsElche

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
26%
37%
Alavés winDrawElche win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
1.01Avg goals scored1.00
1.71Avg goals conceded1.33
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Alavés xG

Expected goals

1.3

Elche xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

10%

1–0

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Alavés

Alavés

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Elche

Elche

LLWWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Alavés vs Elche?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Alavés's current form?

Alavés have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Alavés Win37%
Draw26%
Elche Win37%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%