Match Analysis

AlavésvsMálaga

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
24%
29%
Alavés winDrawMálaga win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
1.01Avg goals scored0.90
1.71Avg goals conceded1.99
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Alavés xG

Expected goals

1.3

Málaga xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Alavés

Alavés

WDLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Málaga

Málaga

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Alavés vs Málaga?

Alavés is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Alavés's current form?

Alavés have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Alavés Win47%
Draw24%
Málaga Win29%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%