Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Athletic Club xG
Expected goals
1.4
Real Sociedad xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
9%
1–0
8%
1–2
8%
2–0
7%
0–1
6%
Home
Athletic Club
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Real Sociedad
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?
Athletic Club is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletic Club's current form?
Athletic Club have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from La Liga