Athletic Club vs Sevilla
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Athletic Club xG
Expected goals
1.6
Sevilla xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
2–1
8%
1–0
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Athletic Club
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Sevilla
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
Athletic Club is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletic Club's current form?
Athletic Club have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Athletic Club won 4, drew 1, and Sevilla won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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