Match Analysis

Atlético MadridvsDeportivo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
25%
22%
Atlético Madrid winDrawDeportivo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.74Avg goals scored1.10
0.77Avg goals conceded1.10
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Atlético Madrid xG

Expected goals

0.9

Deportivo xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

12%

2–0

11%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

0–1

7%

Home

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

LLWWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Deportivo

Deportivo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético Madrid's current form?

Atlético Madrid have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético Madrid Win53%
Draw25%
Deportivo Win22%
BTTS47%
Over 2.546%