Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Atlético Madrid xG
Expected goals
0.8
Valencia xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
2–0
12%
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
3–0
8%
0–0
6%
Home
Atlético Madrid
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Valencia
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Valencia?
Atlético Madrid is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atlético Madrid's current form?
Atlético Madrid have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from La Liga