Match Analysis

BarcelonavsAlavés

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

81%
11%
8%
Barcelona winDrawAlavés win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
3.78Avg goals scored1.01
1.17Avg goals conceded1.71
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.4

Barcelona xG

Expected goals

1.1

Alavés xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

8%

2–1

7%

3–0

7%

4–1

7%

2–0

6%

4–0

6%

Home

Barcelona

Barcelona

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.8 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Alavés

Alavés

WDLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Alavés?

Barcelona is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Barcelona's current form?

Barcelona have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Barcelona Win81%
Draw11%
Alavés Win8%
BTTS64%
Over 2.583%