Match Analysis

BarcelonavsGetafe

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

83%
10%
7%
Barcelona winDrawGetafe win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
3.78Avg goals scored0.75
1.17Avg goals conceded1.68
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.4

Barcelona xG

Expected goals

1

Getafe xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

2–0

7%

2–1

7%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

Home

Barcelona

Barcelona

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.8 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Getafe

Getafe

LLWWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Getafe?

Barcelona is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Barcelona's current form?

Barcelona have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Barcelona Win83%
Draw10%
Getafe Win7%
BTTS61%
Over 2.581%