โšก Match Analysis

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
20%
31%
Celta Vigo winDrawAthletic Club win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
1.19Avg goals scored1.35
1.25Avg goals conceded1.96
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“1โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

1.3

Athletic Club xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

10%

2โ€“1

10%

1โ€“0

7%

2โ€“0

7%

1โ€“2

6%

2โ€“2

6%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

LDLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Celta Vigoall timeAthletic Club
2W
1D
3W
17 May 26
Athletic Club1โ€“1Celta Vigo
14 Dec 25
Celta Vigo2โ€“0Athletic Club
19 Jan 25
Celta Vigo1โ€“2Athletic Club
22 Sep 24
Athletic Club3โ€“1Celta Vigo
15 May 24
Celta Vigo2โ€“1Athletic Club
10 Nov 23
Athletic Club4โ€“3Celta Vigo

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, drew 1, and Athletic Club won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win49%
Draw20%
Athletic Club Win31%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š