Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Celta Vigo xG
Expected goals
1.2
Atlético Madrid xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
15%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
1–0
11%
0–2
9%
1–2
8%
Home
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Atlético Madrid
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid?
Atlético Madrid is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Celta Vigo's current form?
Celta Vigo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from La Liga