Match Analysis

Celta VigovsAtlético Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
29%
44%
Celta Vigo winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.72Avg goals scored1.74
0.83Avg goals conceded0.77
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

1.2

Atlético Madrid xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

15%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

1–0

11%

0–2

9%

1–2

8%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

LLWWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win27%
Draw29%
Atlético Madrid Win44%
BTTS41%
Over 2.535%