Match Analysis

DeportivovsBarcelona

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
19%
61%
Deportivo winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.10Avg goals scored3.78
1.09Avg goals conceded1.17
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Deportivo xG

Expected goals

2.4

Barcelona xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

0–1

6%

0–3

6%

Home

Deportivo

Deportivo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.8 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Deportivo vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Deportivo's current form?

Deportivo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Deportivo Win20%
Draw19%
Barcelona Win61%
BTTS66%
Over 2.571%