Elche vs Real Madrid
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Elche xG
Expected goals
1.6
Real Madrid xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
1–1
12%
0–2
10%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
1–0
7%
Home
Elche
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Elche vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Elche's current form?
Elche have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 La Liga meetings, Elche won 0, drew 1, and Real Madrid won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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