Match Analysis

ElchevsSevilla

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
25%
34%
Elche winDrawSevilla win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.00Avg goals scored1.30
1.33Avg goals conceded1.63
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Elche xG

Expected goals

1.3

Sevilla xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–0

7%

Home

Elche

Elche

LLWWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Elche vs Sevilla?

Elche is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Elche's current form?

Elche have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Elche Win41%
Draw25%
Sevilla Win34%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%